Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-833.23

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
1068 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-590.83
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
450 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
362 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
204 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-158.87
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
188 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-19.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
40 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-35.92
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-4.94
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
11 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-2.96

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 23:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 23:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 23:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.81Feb 15, 23:38 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.49Feb 15, 23:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 21:35 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.92Feb 15, 21:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 21:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 21:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$80.00Feb 15, 21:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$36.00Feb 15, 17:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$600.00Feb 15, 16:59 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$491.23Feb 15, 16:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$100.00Feb 15, 16:54 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$210.41Feb 15, 16:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 16:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$200.00Feb 15, 16:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$230.68Feb 15, 16:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 16:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$90.00Feb 15, 16:33 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry29 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 31
Avg trade size: $59.04
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 15, 05:45 UTC
Last active: Feb 15, 23:43 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:24:06 UTC·src:Polymarket Data