Questionable-Burial
0xf2f34b115a0b771246c9af16e2f3fc8771f6c7e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
27500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.87
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
4650 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-130.53
- NO
Will Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?
4258 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.07
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2857 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
2837 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
2100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-252.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
2083 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
1042 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$263.09Jul 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$1.2KJul 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$366.43Jul 9, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09?$3.9KJul 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$102.82Jul 9, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?$256.60Jul 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$153.91Jul 9, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$154.18Jul 9, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$2.5KJul 9, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$602.85Feb 28, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.2KFeb 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.22Feb 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.3KFeb 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$49.76Feb 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.07Feb 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.02Feb 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.03Feb 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.89Feb 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.22Feb 22, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $446.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.