Understated-Notice
0xf2f3890d991ce39333a78861d49046c90bf699e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$57.68
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$7.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$57.68
$7.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 18 at 5PM ET?
3532 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-989.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
1032 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 28 at 5PM ET?
678 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
370 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
238 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
196 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
196 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 22 at 5PM ET?
191 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will PSG beat Chelsea?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET$51.79Jun 4, 17:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET$75.11Jun 3, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET$9.39Jun 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET$10.45Jun 3, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET$8.36Jun 3, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET$49.58Jun 3, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$476.87Jun 3, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$408.27Jun 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$17.55Jun 3, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET$118.26Jun 2, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET$62.14Jun 2, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$109.09Jun 2, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET$61.93Jun 2, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$61.89Jun 2, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$25.35Jun 2, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$15.46Jun 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$7.23Jun 2, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$145.52Jun 2, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$71.54Jun 2, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $79.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".