Shameful-Penny
0xf2f80976c338c8d856336925d404d197c4bff5ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 23 above $200?
957 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-746.19
- OVER
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5
417 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-104.20
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be 2,800,000 voters or greater?
415 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.78
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
347 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-45.15
- OVER
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
334 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-66.86
- OVER
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5
276 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-38.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 17?
273 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.37
- YES
Will Sandrine Tas (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
236 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 190 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
219 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
- YES
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?
198 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?$22.49Jul 6, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$16.05Jul 3, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$16.30Jul 3, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 1?$20.07Jul 3, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?$22.02Jul 1, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 June 22-28?$14.64Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$15.99Jun 29, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 1?$19.97Jun 27, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$14.51Jun 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$1.38Jun 26, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 June 22-28?$14.01Jun 24, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?$12.64Jun 8, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?$13.88Jun 8, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?$12.58May 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?$13.68May 28, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Ruszkowski win the GA-14 special election?$156.52Apr 10, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$45.15Apr 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYVålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5$104.20Apr 3, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5$66.86Apr 2, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMEC Juventude vs. Grêmio Novorizontino: O/U 3.5$448.59Apr 2, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $153.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.