Major-Chill
0xf2f916dad0cfd499fc8709a4030b7345481ca3c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.00
Realised
$0.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
5450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.90
- NO
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?
2686 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.02
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
1102 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
588 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or below on March 12?
449 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?
212 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump not say any listed term during the 2026 State of the Union Address?
122 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Maduro" during the State of the Union address?
110 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10PM ET
33 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
32 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?$2.49Mar 24, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?$92.70Mar 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$81.66Mar 16, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$11.04Mar 16, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$7.95Mar 12, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$7.95Mar 12, 06:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$74.58Mar 11, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69.19Mar 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or below on March 12?$10.00Mar 11, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.38Mar 11, 11:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 11, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.53Mar 10, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.52Mar 10, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.93Mar 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.93Mar 10, 02:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.11Mar 9, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Mar 9, 10:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 9, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $21.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.