Vigilant-Grit
0xf317dde518c7dbff9ce5739ada60987b20854a7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-735.56
Realised
$0.83
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2PM ET
1748 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10PM ET
1354 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-68.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
700 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-33.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET
515 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET
420 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-73.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7PM ET
316 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9AM ET
312 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6AM ET
283 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-154.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7PM ET
156 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7AM ET
110 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$9.54Feb 2, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$5.20Feb 2, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.30Feb 2, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.25Feb 2, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.05Feb 2, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.06Feb 2, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.07Feb 2, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 2, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$3.87Feb 2, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.91Feb 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$9.09Feb 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$3.60Feb 2, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$0.01Feb 2, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET$10.00Feb 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3PM ET$7.00Feb 2, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3PM ET$6.70Feb 2, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET$50.00Feb 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET$4.20Feb 1, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET$15.00Feb 1, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET$3.98Feb 1, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.