Lighthearted-Download
0xf318d9b8b5ee8af246dbf6449f94889cd4cdb15c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.98
Total PnL
$-5.49
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$6.98
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 1?
12 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$498.50Mar 2, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$505.97Mar 2, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1?$503.64Mar 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 1?$3.00Mar 1, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1?$502.13Mar 1, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$1.06Mar 1, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?$1.22Mar 1, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Ethereum reserve in 2025?$1.79Mar 1, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?$1.00Jun 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$1.00Jun 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 2?$1.00Jun 2, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 2?$1.00Jun 2, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$2.02Jun 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.02Jun 2, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?$1.18Jun 2, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$2.00Mar 7, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?$1.00Mar 7, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve in 2025?$1.00Mar 7, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?$1.00Mar 7, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$1.06Mar 7, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $44.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.