Carefree-Windage
0xf31b134696668ba1146496292ddd7dbe489367f8
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.82
Total PnL
$-7.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 11, 2026$3.17
$2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on May 11?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on May 11?
229 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 11?
223 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 11?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 27°C or below on May 11?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 11?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 11?
217 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on May 11?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 27°C or below on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 11?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 78,800 on May 10, 1AM ET?$1.8716h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET$1.0616h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.0616h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
