Stupendous-Blister
0xf3241cc41409b3351a059da414f43f38302b45fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$346.86
Win rate
50%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 12?
10949 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 19?
6404 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-17.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?
5011 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-39.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 18?
4920 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?
4121 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 19?
3609 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-26.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?
2733 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.67
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 30?
2597 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 27?
2532 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17?
2413 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 21?$1.87Jun 20, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 21?$0.92Jun 20, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?$1.07Jun 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?$1.07Jun 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?$6.27Jun 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco?$6.26Jun 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco?$5.67Jun 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?$2.01Jun 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?$7.68Jun 19, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?$7.24Jun 19, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?$2.22Jun 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 20?$1.07Jun 19, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 20?$1.07Jun 19, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?$1.04Jun 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20?$1.07Jun 19, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?$1.07Jun 19, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar?$10.34Jun 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar?$9.85Jun 18, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Qatar?$9.84Jun 18, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Qatar?$9.37Jun 18, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
30 closed markets, 50% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.