Demanding-Sake
0xf3272554a3975456f53640728d4b9b9301090b68
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-45.61
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2229 shares @ 85.2¢·now 87.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.9K
$37.97
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
939 shares @ 29.3¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$243.73
$-31.61
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.50
$-5.50
- NO
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?
303 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-186.92
- NO
Will Trump post "Terrorist" on Truth Social this week?
248 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-33.61
- NO
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?
216 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-72.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Miami address?
211 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-139.35
- NO
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (March 15)
182 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-105.82
- YES
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)
181 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$333.20Jun 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.34May 29, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$168.00May 28, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$179.72May 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$340.00May 27, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$171.40May 26, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$191.98May 26, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.07May 26, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.96May 26, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.50May 26, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.59May 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$123.88May 26, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?$15.50May 25, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$350.40May 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.99May 21, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.36May 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.06May 19, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.59May 19, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 19, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?$49.99May 14, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $59.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.