Jumbo-Coin
0xf3338c0f5c52e48fbe883d731226b7820e70ba41
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$123.96
Total PnL
$-655.53
Realised
$-394.83
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
22 shares @ 65.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.15
$-1.83
- YES
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
25 shares @ 61.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.25
$-4.00
- YES
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.31
$-39.64
- YES
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 33.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$10.20
$-29.40
- NO
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?
16 shares @ 74.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.53
$-1.94
- NO
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
40 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.40
$-3.80
- YES
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.25
$-7.25
- YES
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
158 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.10
$-16.57
- NO
Will LOS Qualify for the CBLOL Split 2 Playoffs
120 shares @ 23.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.40
$-22.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?$9.11Aug 7, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?$19.26Aug 7, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?$10.75Aug 7, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?$27.63Aug 7, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 6?$0.00Aug 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?$22.50Aug 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028?$32.80Aug 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?$14.90Aug 6, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?$14.76Aug 6, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?$10.32Aug 6, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$15.24Aug 6, 16:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$32.91Aug 6, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$6.18Aug 6, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.80Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$374.32Aug 6, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 21?$0.00Aug 5, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 8?$0.00Aug 5, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?$0.00Aug 5, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Patrick Bertelotti finish 2nd at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest?$0.00Aug 5, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 16?$0.00Aug 5, 23:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $17.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.