Candid-Infiltration
0xf33bbdc8821b0558b68ddbc35a5fabf532ff0b31
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-214.27
Realised
$3.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 20?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 26?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?
115 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 7?
72 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 13?
57 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?
53 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 6?
38 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on April 6?
37 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 6?
30 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?
29 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.99Jun 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.75Jun 15, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.65Jun 15, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.75Jun 15, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 19?$0.81Jun 8, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 11?$2.08Jun 8, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 19?$7.00Jun 8, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$20.42Jun 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?$5.11May 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 29?$5.21May 29, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?$5.07May 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 29?$5.01May 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 28?$5.38May 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$8.11May 28, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$5.09May 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 28?$5.02May 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?$15.32May 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C or higher on May 28?$15.76May 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C or higher on May 28?$15.04May 28, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$15.32May 28, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.