Giving-Redhead
0xf33c61174b52d7f0e25336d39885e0b63824744f
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-989.44
Realised
$-151.67
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8638 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-483.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on April 21?
347 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-82.92
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
102 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
81 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-78.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 21?
43 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
41 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 21?
33 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 21?
32 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
28 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 21?
22 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$101.01Aug 11, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$100.07Aug 11, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$60.77Aug 11, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$105.59Aug 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$60.15Aug 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$100.37Aug 11, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$105.44Aug 11, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$100.36Aug 11, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$104.60Aug 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$100.14Aug 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$100.31Aug 11, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$61.30Aug 11, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$131.58Aug 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$58.76Aug 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$101.68Aug 11, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$100.47Aug 11, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$101.40Aug 11, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$101.01Aug 11, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $95.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.