Scientific-Font
0xf3476319604945dbd5d66cde1593f22a7290131a
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-697.21
Realised
$-148.20
Win rate
13%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
124 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-55.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
122 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
100 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
100 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-21.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
97 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-53.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
95 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
85 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
81 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.50Jul 22, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.30Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.41Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.30Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.70Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.40Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.55Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.45Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.85Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$4.83Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.40Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.80Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.54Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.75Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.30Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.20Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.15Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.65Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.77Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.44Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
32 closed markets, 13% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.