Foolish-Future-Timpani
0xf347ca832bba2e43a6703d0aab437e2c21d2346a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$172.24
Total PnL
$-889.70
Realised
$-4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Team Liquid Academy Win Emea Challengers Stage
91 shares @ 65.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$90.52
$30.30
- YES
Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?
108 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.01
$0.54
- YES
Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?
400 shares @ 40.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$25.20
$-136.80
- YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.80
$-23.20
- YES
Will Barça eSports Win Emea Challengers Stage
425 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.70
$-174.40
- YES
Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 5–10%?
2 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.01
$-0.23
- YES
Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?
400 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- NO
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
400 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-164.20
- NO
Will the announcers say "Pocket" during Netherlands vs Morocco?
258 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-84.82
- YES
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?
200 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-97.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$9.70Jul 2, 02:49 UTC
- REWARD$2.87Jul 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?$79.20Jul 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?$0.80Jul 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?$82.00Jul 1, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$6.20Jul 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$6.20Jul 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$6.20Jul 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$6.20Jul 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$6.20Jul 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$2.47Jul 1, 02:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.25Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 3?$9.70Jun 30, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?$41.87Jun 30, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?$2.13Jun 30, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$43.36Jun 30, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$4.80Jun 30, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$2.16Jun 30, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?$0.87Jun 30, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $21.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.