Accomplished-Prestige
0xf34c215125ee7f75354cb3133c884b981d534f33
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$81.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$52.50
- NO
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
643 shares @ 74.5¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$501.30
$22.73
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
252 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$228.06
$6.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$837.94Jul 21, 08:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.80Jul 20, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$230.40Jul 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$1.61Jul 20, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$251.43Jul 20, 19:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$480.00Jul 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.4KJul 17, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$321.28Jul 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$16.00Jul 17, 05:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$38.40Jul 16, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$96.00Jul 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$63.99Jul 16, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $165.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.