Charming-Trillion
0xf34f13e9957f0dd06f1210cfe264d23ee72cfb11
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$65.98
Total PnL
$-72.26
Realised
$0.74
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
122 shares @ 32.8¢·now 30.6¢·exp May 3, 2026$37.26
$-2.74
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
340 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.19
$-4.81
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.18
$-2.82
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.83
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$20.6715h ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?$1.0216h ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?$1.0116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?$10.1816h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$4.6616h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.1216h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.8616h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.0016h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$25.5116h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$25.0416h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$1.0116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$20.6716h ago
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.1816h ago
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.0216h ago
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.1916h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$10.0016h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".