Grizzled-Sleeping
0xf355d3c0e0b19f99b11748f7653372ebb746d3c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$40.46
Total PnL
$-140.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
13 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$12.58
$1.38
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
11 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$11.44
$1.58
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
14 shares @ 88.0¢·now 67.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$9.15
$-2.85
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
11 shares @ 85.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.29
$-2.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 3?
744 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- ROCKETS
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
76 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$12.07Jul 17, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$9.68Jul 17, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$9.93Jul 17, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$11.26Jul 17, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 3?$4.84Jun 25, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$3.0KJun 25, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$1.4KJun 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 3?$1.05Jun 2, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 3?$3.06Jun 2, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles$101.44May 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-9.5)$36.98Apr 24, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5$36.98Apr 23, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5$19.51Apr 22, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMUCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies$1.53Apr 22, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMGeorge Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos$2.66Apr 22, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?$3.02Apr 22, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$4.22Apr 22, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$4.00Mar 22, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?$3.00Mar 22, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $108.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.