Near-Eddy
0xf35ac715528f9af1b25fc9f1c454cb3d15b5a1cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-20.10
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
2122 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-169.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?
2100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?
1503 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
1161 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-297.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
966 shares @ 82.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-795.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
903 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-225.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
735 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-112.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
698 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-409.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
662 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-393.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$42.06Jun 24, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$7.20Apr 24, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.30Apr 24, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.15Apr 24, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.65Apr 24, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.50Apr 24, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.80Apr 24, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.44Apr 24, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.53Apr 24, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.16Apr 24, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.66Apr 24, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.93Apr 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.17Apr 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$7.38Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.79Apr 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.79Apr 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.00Apr 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.40Apr 16, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.