Indolent-Thought
0xf36feeade1d827811938bea457e3af785f31e5b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-34.76
Win rate
0%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
458 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-132.85
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
400 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?
200 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
150 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
140 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-79.80
- BRAZIL
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
129 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-90.30
- YES
France leading at halftime?
125 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-77.50
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
120 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-64.80
- YES
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score
120 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-69.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?$15.67Aug 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score$71.06Aug 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?$47.01Aug 15, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMCF Cruz Azul vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score$119.99Aug 14, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Cruz Azul vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score$76.99Aug 14, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF América win on 2026-08-13?$50.25Aug 14, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12?$100.00Aug 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12?$61.20Aug 13, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLInter Miami CF vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score$102.05Aug 13, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score$66.96Aug 12, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMCF Cruz Azul vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score$67.04Aug 10, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Cruz Azul vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score$41.03Aug 9, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportivo Toluca FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score$24.96Aug 9, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportivo Toluca FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score$46.26Aug 9, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York City FC win on 2026-08-06?$100.00Aug 7, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York City FC win on 2026-08-06?$56.24Aug 7, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles FC vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score$68.48Aug 6, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles FC vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score$42.59Aug 5, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMTigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score$42.67Aug 5, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score$27.80Aug 5, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $60.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.