Pristine-Junker
0xf37f3c3912ae45a6453ec123e764bf77b36647dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
180
Open notional
$0.08
Total PnL
$-809.87
Realised
$-75.13
Win rate
29%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
160 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.08
$-6.18
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
1206 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.59
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on March 31?
560 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026?$0.04Jul 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?$0.09Jul 16, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026?$0.01Jul 16, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026?$0.00Jul 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 20, 2026?$0.20Jul 16, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026?$0.05Jul 15, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.87Jul 15, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.32Jul 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.33Jul 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.72Jul 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.18Jul 10, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$49.50Jul 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.13Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.25Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.25Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.25Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.25Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.25Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.25Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$0.25Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.