0xf3816d0bf529a2ac81d356a0261f039a57e240c2
0xf3816d0bf529a2ac81d356a0261f039a57e240c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.0K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
0%
184 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
74227 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
72222 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-699.96
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-699.99
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39103 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26087 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
23256 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21176 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 184 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
184 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 184 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.