Awful-Petal
0xf3838479c9d4b7be9453fe39ac0ddb17f81cc49f
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-195.67
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
1735 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?
531 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.11
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
422 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
340 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
252 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
238 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.