Immediate-Ephyra
0xf3939a854812c82da9543df5e0f6f794153d70e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-184.94
Realised
$46.45
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 27?
441 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 27?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 14?
253 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?
211 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5AM ET
180 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?
170 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.35Dec 22, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8PM ET$1.00Dec 1, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8PM ET$3.30Dec 1, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8PM ET$5.60Dec 1, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8AM ET$1.20Nov 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.48Nov 27, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.36Nov 26, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET$13.30Nov 23, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET$2.47Nov 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET$0.73Nov 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET$1.80Nov 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET$1.00Nov 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9PM ET$0.77Nov 23, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9PM ET$0.18Nov 23, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9PM ET$0.95Nov 23, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8PM ET$3.50Nov 23, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.43Nov 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.04Nov 20, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6PM ET$1.09Nov 19, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.56Nov 19, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.