0xf39a3702f801dae1b24f4dde1a2a0205bcdce8c0
0xf39a3702f801dae1b24f4dde1a2a0205bcdce8c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Ripple above $2.30 on April 4?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Team from West wins March Madness?
625 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?
595 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-285.60
- YES
F1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?
405 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-368.55
- NO
Will Trump say "Deficit" during tariff event on April 2?
115 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-40.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 3?
115 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will Spain beat Netherlands?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?
85 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-35.70
- YES
Will Bolivia beat Uruguay?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Patronis win by 20-25%?$85.00Apr 17, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?$0.19Apr 10, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?$0.49Apr 9, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?$0.42Apr 9, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter win on 2025-04-08?$1.15Apr 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-04-08?$1.15Apr 7, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarch Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?$285.60Apr 7, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTeam from West wins March Madness?$300.00Apr 7, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMarch Madness: Team from the SEC to win?$410.80Apr 7, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarch Madness: Team from the SEC to win?$410.80Apr 7, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMChennai Super Kings vs. Delhi Capitals$585.00Apr 6, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?$368.55Apr 6, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 5?$360.00Apr 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Super Kings vs. Delhi Capitals$549.90Apr 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 5?$118.80Apr 5, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?$0.93Apr 5, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?$32.82Apr 5, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?$7.50Apr 5, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?$393.75Apr 5, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $2.30 on April 4?$0.08Apr 4, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $109.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.