Dutiful-Generosity
0xf3a044ba0fcfa16193840b44cf9a50a922c60880
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$190.28
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$22.02
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$190.28
$90.28
- NO
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
3330 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 4AM ET
2853 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1493 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-499.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3AM ET
1403 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-433.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
1307 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-914.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
179 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-98.47
- YES
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
36 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
32 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.