Fickle-Riverbed
0xf3a710078c35b891cc0ce98c1badaa023a4f2fd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$15.8K
Win rate
73%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
895 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-66.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
518 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-172.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
480 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
475 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-84.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
460 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-120.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
433 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
426 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
423 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-132.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
413 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-76.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
405 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.17
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$16.95Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$52.50Jun 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$6.58Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$7.76Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$26.59Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$41.48Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$20.22Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$13.13Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$276.36Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$43.05Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$43.58Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.46Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$41.59Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$6.79Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$34.69Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$42.52Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$10.24Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$31.76Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$43.05Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$43.58Jun 30, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
198 closed markets, 73% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.