Rundown-Construction
0xf3a877da036eede232e6a21654b1726a936b56fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-976.77
Realised
$-9.59
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
1120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
205 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
20 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
20 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
20 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Jul 14, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.80Jul 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.65Jul 14, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.69Jul 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.76Jul 14, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Jul 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$3.45Jul 14, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.00Jul 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$3.45Jul 14, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Jul 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.64Jul 13, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$5.00Jul 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$2.64Jul 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$2.64Jul 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.66Jul 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.64Jul 13, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.00Jul 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$3.40Jul 13, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$9.99Jul 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.11Jul 13, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.