Easy-Influence
0xf3ac14033e35d6bbb579c2284ed94abdac20b275
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-246.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
460 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
162 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-136.65
- NO
NYC crime up this week?
91 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?
29 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$7.60Jan 6, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?$18.67Jan 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$22.76Jan 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$38.25Jan 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$66.54Jan 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$86.84Jan 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$20.00Jan 4, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$100.00Jan 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$20.00Jan 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMEU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?$0.00Jan 3, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?$0.00Jan 3, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by December 31?$0.00Jan 3, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMEU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?$29.76Jan 3, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?$31.65Jan 3, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by December 31?$209.60Jan 3, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?$1.35Dec 31, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?$61.65Dec 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?$75.00Dec 17, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.00Dec 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$94.11Dec 17, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $49.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.