Unfortunate-Freedom
0xf3b53e4aedb1080c49914860eeea97c7d8266cb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-807.44
Realised
$79.98
Win rate
83%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 5PM ET
1183 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7PM ET
1177 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
1117 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
847 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.39
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 9AM ET
834 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 7PM ET
815 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.95Jan 30, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$0.90Jan 30, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 30, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.06Jan 30, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.83Jan 30, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$1.07Jan 30, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?$0.66Jan 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$6.09Jan 30, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$17.75Jan 30, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.00Jan 30, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$15.24Jan 30, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$11.11Jan 30, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$21.94Jan 30, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$18.08Jan 30, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.