Tough-Litter
0xf3bc066cc6e56d26b73b5e550680120c05754fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$6.94
Total PnL
$-21.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 6.9¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.87
$0.79
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2678 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2678 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2677 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2677 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2670 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.07Mar 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$2.10Mar 23, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Yemen by January 31?$1.02Feb 6, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$574.99Feb 6, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius say "Nvidia" during earnings call?$10.78Feb 3, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton charged by January 31?$1.01Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$1.02Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBody-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?$1.04Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?$1.04Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.05Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$2.13Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?$5.56Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$12.32Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$30.00Feb 3, 06:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Jan 13, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton charged by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$2.01Jan 12, 09:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".