Tepid-Randomization
0xf3bd5324776ae719393d1ed8111cb7b12e8316b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.47
Total PnL
$-4.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.48
$0.00
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.82
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.10
$0.03
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- OG
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)
2 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.07May 9, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.44Apr 30, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by April 30?$1.82Apr 29, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.34Apr 29, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Apr 29, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.32Apr 29, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.04Apr 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.07Apr 14, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.32Mar 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.33Mar 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Dec 30, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jay Kelly" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$2.20Dec 30, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jay Kelly" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.00Dec 6, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)$1.00Dec 4, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.10Nov 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29?$1.02Nov 27, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on November 18?$2.17Nov 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?$1.05Nov 18, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on November 18?$1.02Nov 16, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.61Nov 7, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.