Obvious-Moon
0xf3c4566490ddd14c1140882894f3b47dad75af2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$450.47
Total PnL
$-298.58
Realised
$-4.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36037 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$450.47
$35.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
785 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-83.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
279 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
110 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
103 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
102 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
62 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.35Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.30Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.29Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.29Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.28Jun 6, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.25Jun 6, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.26Jun 6, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.90Jun 6, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.23Jun 6, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.22Jun 6, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.22Jun 6, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.21Jun 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.21Jun 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.21Jun 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.20Jun 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.20Jun 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.20Jun 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$21.27Jun 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$42.15Jun 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.30Jun 6, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.