Clean-Pennant
0xf3c509384c76b37d368c885618a1d2a999ea567a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
534 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nipah virus in US by March 31?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zach Bauchou win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
87 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
78 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-46.57
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.85Jun 21, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jun 21, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.00Apr 4, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.16Apr 4, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$0.68Apr 4, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$0.67Apr 4, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during executive order signing today?$0.02Mar 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during executive order signing today?$1.00Mar 31, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 30, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Bauchou win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$1.00Mar 30, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Akave Esports Black vs FUSION X (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Playoffs$1.00Mar 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.