Surprised-Hypothesis
0xf3c5ce2fa80c2afad8246d6a7a479d8e46a06fdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.00
Realised
$92.75
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
146 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
47 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$11.50Nov 2, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.50Nov 2, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Nov 2, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.00Nov 2, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.11Nov 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Nov 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Nov 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$8.89Nov 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.58Nov 1, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.01Nov 1, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.40Nov 1, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Nov 1, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$13.00Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Nov 1, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 23:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.