Kindhearted-Personality
0xf3d0f494527f9b2df0ca0200d435a94270c70530
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$29.93
Total PnL
$-50.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.27
$0.27
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.45
$0.45
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
4 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.14
$0.14
- NO
North Korea missile launch by October 31?
47 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.02
- NO
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.44May 29, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.21May 29, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.95May 28, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.21May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.61May 27, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.26May 27, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.32May 27, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$4.05May 26, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$4.30May 26, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$11.24May 26, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$12.17May 26, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$13.04May 26, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$4.00May 11, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$4.01May 11, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.00May 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$7.00May 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$15.00May 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$13.00May 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$12.01May 11, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$8.22May 11, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $12.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.