Old-Diplomacy
0xf3d2574768c309da8c983202b0911f02a0460bf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-157.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Reserve" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?
350 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2024$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
304 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.14
- YES
Will Trump menton $DJT at his rally today?
268 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?
50 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2024$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLErdoğan out in 2025?$41.67Aug 26, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?$9.30Aug 26, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?$0.34Aug 26, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?$0.11Aug 26, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$0.00Aug 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?$10.00Jul 31, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?$5.40Jul 30, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?$4.21Jul 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?$6.59Jul 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?$0.96Jul 27, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?$3.40Jul 27, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?$100.00Jul 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?$2.60Jul 26, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$53.35Jul 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out in 2025?$50.00Jul 25, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$50.00Jul 23, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$11.40Jul 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$0.24Jul 20, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$0.28Jul 19, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$8.70Jul 19, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 22:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 26, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".