These-Asymmetry
0xf3e46e9845265eb92f791ae3bb8740271d17f1e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$133.37
Total PnL
$-87.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of July 13 2026?
133 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$133.37
$0.27
- YES
Netanyahu out by May 31?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?
695 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 27?
590 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?
575 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MANITOBA MOOSE
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Manitoba Moose
17 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- TEAM LIQUID
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- MADISON KEYS
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal
14 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.14
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
13 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of July 13 2026?$133.11Jul 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$2.08Jul 17, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$140.14Jul 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$140.01Jun 30, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?$140.74Jun 30, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?$140.61Jun 19, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$13.45Jun 19, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$121.05Jun 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers$5.39Jun 1, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$11.51Jun 1, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$120.94May 31, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$3.00May 31, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMKosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard$10.16May 31, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 30?$13.88May 31, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$99.90May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$99.71May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$98.86May 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$99.03May 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard$7.17May 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$13.40May 30, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $101.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.