Capital-Cranky
0xf4038673738f5595d48c3445b64002c91e3e9ea2
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.38
Total PnL
$-314.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$3.38
$0.72
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
1608 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
318 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-69.90
- 49ERS
Seahawks vs. 49ers
269 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-102.73
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
174 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-19.90
- 49ERS
49ers vs. Buccaneers
83 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Amazon buy TikTok?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$2.66Mar 26, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Eagles$215.63Jan 12, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Eagles$69.00Jan 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$9.00Jan 4, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$3.00Jan 4, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$9.00Jan 4, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$13.00Jan 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$27.00Jan 4, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$18.83Jan 4, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$19.00Jan 4, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. 49ers$3.90Jan 4, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$8.30Dec 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$69.90Dec 17, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$19.90Oct 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Texans$1.62Oct 26, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$54.17Oct 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$9.82Oct 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$5.08Oct 10, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $169.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.