Grizzled-Mistake
0xf4061737eaa8ccf0f6ab5b5c813d9ed7eeccacd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$22.01
Total PnL
$-25.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.03
$0.03
- NO
USDT depeg in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will it Snow in Miami this December?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 15, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?$1.00Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.01Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 9?$1.01Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMOver 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.01Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.01Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?$1.00Dec 12, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 2?$1.00Dec 6, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 29?$1.00Dec 6, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 27-28°F on December 5?$1.01Dec 6, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?$1.01Dec 6, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$1.01Dec 6, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 3?$1.01Dec 6, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta dip to $550 in November?$1.01Dec 6, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".