Ill-Fated-Gander
0xf418e9bc167373078f7d569fca07dc8b3b556058
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$29.46
Total PnL
$-351.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
165 shares @ 22.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.63
$-16.92
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.85
$-1.05
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-2.01
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
632 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.46
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
350 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
321 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.71
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
320 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
280 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-33.60
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.14Jun 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.46Feb 24, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.28Feb 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.77Feb 19, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$18.00Feb 19, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$2.0KFeb 9, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$995.01Feb 6, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$18.90Feb 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)$18.40Jan 31, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?$0.85Jan 24, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?$1.15Jan 24, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?$1.00Jan 24, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.22Jan 12, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$2.93Jan 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.46Jan 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.87Jan 12, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.23Jan 12, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$28.75Jan 12, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.88Jan 12, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$9.28Jan 10, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $41.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.