Expensive-Conspirator
0xf41af1216959ba955ca73e3ea477c40f028c09bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$-681.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?
14442 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
9668 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-124.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on July 21?
3333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-499.95
- NO
Will Ethereum close above $3400 on July 31?
3125 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?
806 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$3.0KAug 9, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$0.00Aug 6, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$0.00Aug 6, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$0.00Aug 6, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$13.4KAug 6, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$11.1KJul 26, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$801.10Jul 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$54.00Jul 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$11.34Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$18.18Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$0.72Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$3.60Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$51.37Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$27.22Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$810.00Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$28.98Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$47.41Jul 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$67.61Jul 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$40.61Jul 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?$3.60Jul 25, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $676.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".