Sociable-Turban
0xf41feb1556488dbd394ab3dd6edf1eed56622b3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$59.24
Total PnL
$-13.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.00
$0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on March 23?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$7.80
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 23?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$7.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 23?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$7.00
$0.01
- NO
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
6 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 23?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$5.28
$0.01
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.20
$0.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 23?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$5.00
$0.03
- NO
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.96
$0.00
- NO
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on March 23?$5.27Mar 22, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on March 23?$7.79Mar 22, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 23?$6.99Mar 22, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 23?$6.99Mar 22, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 23?$4.97Mar 22, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$14.00Mar 22, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$6.00Mar 16, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.00Mar 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$4.89Mar 10, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.10Mar 10, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$6.00Mar 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$5.99Mar 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.96Mar 2, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$5.79Mar 2, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$13.51Mar 2, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.96Mar 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.12Mar 2, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.0KMar 2, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.67Mar 1, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$9.32Mar 1, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".