Milky-Ease
0xf421705cbe3dd07db21ddd4a61eb8cce9386efce
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$263.46
Win rate
45%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 65°F or below on June 17?
3218 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 6?
3134 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-44.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 20?
2176 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?
2019 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 23?
1820 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 18?
1799 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?
1792 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-40.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?
1579 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.80
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 27°C on June 24?
1458 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?
1411 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-16.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on July 26?$0.02Jul 26, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saundra Pelletier be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$12.97Jul 26, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic$1.27Jul 26, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?$1.26Jul 26, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?$1.21Jul 26, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?$1.21Jul 26, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?$1.05Jul 26, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on July 26?$0.05Jul 26, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on July 26?$0.25Jul 25, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 25?$0.11Jul 25, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 25?$0.15Jul 25, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 25?$0.21Jul 25, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 25?$0.54Jul 25, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 25?$0.04Jul 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 25?$0.87Jul 25, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$0.11Jul 25, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$0.01Jul 25, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$0.23Jul 25, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 25?$1.34Jul 25, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 25?$7.04Jul 25, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
38 closed markets, 45% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 04:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.