Stark-Certification
0xf42fa3f597135fc95d3e190515e7b6f83c085017
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-305.99
Realised
$9.49
Win rate
59%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
320 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
279 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
202 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
193 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
186 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
178 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
175 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.00Jul 3, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.49Jul 3, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.07Jul 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.07Jul 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.06Jul 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.06Jul 3, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.75Jul 3, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.21Jul 3, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.07Jul 3, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.05Jul 3, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.07Jul 3, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.22Jul 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.06Jul 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.86Jul 2, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.06Jul 2, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.06Jul 2, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.11Jul 2, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.46Jul 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.06Jul 2, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.07Jul 2, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
32 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.