0xf430acaefcd9d3bcbefda5d5185b1342725cb15f
0xf430acaefcd9d3bcbefda5d5185b1342725cb15f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$15.56
Total PnL
$-1.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
10 shares @ 39.1¢·now 27.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$2.84
$-1.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 67.2¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00May 28, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$2.00May 28, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.30May 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04May 28, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.04May 28, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.03May 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.00May 28, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$2.04May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$2.04May 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$3.06May 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.04May 28, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$2.10May 28, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$2.10May 28, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.04May 28, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$0.51May 27, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.04May 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$2.07May 27, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.71May 27, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.74May 27, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.04May 27, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".