Rusty-Dessert
0xf43219c4aedfba0aa0d152fc001cbe6ca16a0ae8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.13
Total PnL
$-45.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
237 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.13
$-2.87
- YES
Will TikTok - Videos, Shop & LIVE be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?
692 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Secretary" during his Epstein testimony?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
105 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will "Scream 7" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?
40 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Secretary" during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?$2.00Mar 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$6.56Mar 4, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$6.18Mar 4, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$6.67Mar 4, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$9.42Mar 3, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?$3.00Mar 3, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$3.41Mar 3, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$4.44Mar 3, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$4.00Mar 3, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$5.00Mar 3, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok - Videos, Shop & LIVE be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$1.00Mar 3, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$2.00Mar 3, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Korea missile launch by February 28?$0.43Feb 27, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?$10.00Feb 27, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".