Honest-Mall
0xf4321f210c9d55f437089ca8ba3223bf798b3a82
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.26
Total PnL
$-7.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will CapCut - Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
639 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
590 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Microsoft have the second best AI model on October 31?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.40Jul 22, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.90Jul 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?$3.00Jul 13, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?$55.85Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?$5.73Jun 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?$55.80Jun 30, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?$5.70Jun 27, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$5.04Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$9.04Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$6.73Jun 1, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?$2.01Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$2.00Jun 1, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$4.01Jun 1, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.04Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.01May 31, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 31, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.02May 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$5.01May 30, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in May?$5.01May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?$4.02May 30, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $7.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.