Tough-Preservation
0xf4399bf040cef4aaeaed0f082c63cde8474a727c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.31
Total PnL
$-60.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$11.83
$0.03
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.48
$0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 26?
5447 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.89
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 15?
5436 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.87
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 26?
2136 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 22?
2079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?
2074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 17?
2066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 20?
2052 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?
1833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$11.80Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.06May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.06May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.12May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.09May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.09May 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.08May 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.00May 21, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.05May 21, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.09May 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.01May 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$0.05May 21, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $247.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.