Unhealthy-Foundation-Analogy
0xf43ba9693cf0876b8cf28fa890d805e7d5907673
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$10.0K
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$-1.37
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
1830 shares @ 75.7¢·now 82.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$127.33
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?
2511 shares @ 42.3¢·now 45.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.1K
$79.63
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
1315 shares @ 53.3¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$999.40
$298.90
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?
1236 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$988.71
$62.25
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
806 shares @ 86.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$737.18
$38.96
- NO
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?
828 shares @ 73.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$649.91
$44.27
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
924 shares @ 35.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$586.70
$260.22
- NO
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
601 shares @ 86.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$568.31
$48.57
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 17 2026?
804 shares @ 25.8¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$474.47
$267.15
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?
455 shares @ 55.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$359.19
$105.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?$11.40Aug 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?$85.48Aug 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of August 17 2026?$30.36Aug 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of August 17 2026?$10.80Aug 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of August 17 2026?$66.18Aug 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of August 17 2026?$6.58Aug 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?$50.10Aug 17, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?$46.14Aug 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?$12.25Aug 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?$69.40Aug 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?$39.49Aug 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 17 2026?$75.00Aug 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?$163.07Aug 17, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?$18.45Aug 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 17 2026?$0.42Aug 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 17 2026?$30.82Aug 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 17 2026?$182.23Aug 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of August 17 2026?$68.73Aug 17, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?$58.80Aug 17, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 17 2026?$21.73Aug 17, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $79.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.